EconViz Dashboard

Crisis

Confidence: 96.2%

Acute stress with extreme volatility and liquidity breakdown. Correlations spike, violent drawdowns, and panic selling. Typically characterized by VIX above 35, sharp equity drops, and flight to cash/treasuries. The regime is determined by a Hidden Markov Model trained on 5 years of rolling data across equity returns (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA), volatility (VIX), dollar strength (DXY), yield curve spreads (2s10s), inflation expectations (5Y breakeven), and jobless claims. The confidence score of 96.2% represents the model's posterior probability of being in the current state.

Equities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

SPY

741.00

+12.01

+1.65%

IWM

298.97

-0.86

-0.29%

QQQ

724.08

+17.56

+2.49%

DIA

521.68

+3.93

+0.76%

Volatility & FX
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

VIX

17.65

-0.76

-4.13%

DXY

101.27

-0.10

-0.09%

Commodities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

CRUDE_OIL

70.27

+0.03

+0.04%

GOLD

3992.90

-110.10

-2.68%

SILVER

57.69

-1.92

-3.22%

NATURAL_GAS

3.17

-0.11

-3.41%

COPPER

6.15

-0.04

-0.70%

WHEAT

580.75

-8.00

-1.36%

Macro Indicators
IndicatorValueChange30D Trend

Fed Funds Rate

3.63%

-1 bps

5Y Inflation Exp.

2.52%

-2 bps

Initial Claims

215,000

+6,000

2s10s Spread

0.41%

-1 bps


Economic indicator dashboard using Hidden Markov Models to predict market regime. Click on any asset to see a Monte Carlo simulation that predicts likely price outcomes over the next 30 days.

Built by Raven Clodd